Ligue 2 · Matchweek 15
Metz
MET
Reims
REI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Metz33%
Draw25%
Reims41%
Expected goals
1.48 – 1.65
Over 2.5
59%
Both to score
63%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.0%
- 1–28.8%
- 0–17.7%
- 2–17.7%
- 1–06.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
57%Possession53%
41%Territory23%
23%From set plays21%
0.11Chance quality0.23
8.2%Directness5.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Metz, 3 for Reims. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 99 matches, not the full season.