Ligue 2 · Matchweek 15
Metz
MET
Reims
REI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Metz33%
Draw25%
Reims42%
Expected goals
1.48 – 1.69
Over 2.5
60%
Both to score
64%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.8%
- 1–28.8%
- 0–17.6%
- 2–17.6%
- 2–26.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
58%Possession51%
39%Territory27%
20%From set plays21%
0.11Chance quality0.10
8.4%Directness7.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Metz, 2 for Reims. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 22 of 97 matches, not the full season.