Ligue 2 · Matchweek 15
Laval
LAV
Dunkerque
DUN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Laval42%
Draw26%
Dunkerque32%
Expected goals
1.63 – 1.40
Over 2.5
57%
Both to score
61%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.3%
- 2–18.9%
- 1–08.4%
- 1–27.5%
- 0–17.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Laval get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
59%Possession56%
39%Territory31%
46%From set plays30%
0.14Chance quality0.12
5.4%Directness7.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Laval, 3 for Dunkerque. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 99 matches, not the full season.