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Ligue 2 · Matchweek 15

Laval

LAV

Dunkerque

DUN

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Laval40%
Draw24%
Dunkerque36%

Expected goals

1.71 – 1.63

Over 2.5

64%

Both to score

67%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1110.2%
  • 218.4%
  • 127.9%
  • 227.0%
  • 106.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Laval will have the ball; Dunkerque will not mind.

60%Possession41%
44%Territory29%
31%From set plays7%
0.09Chance quality0.07
5.7%Directness7.5%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Laval, 3 for Dunkerque. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 54 matches, not the full season.