Ligue 2 · Matchweek 15
Guingamp
GUI
Dijon
DIJ
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Guingamp51%
Draw23%
Dijon26%
Expected goals
2.00 – 1.42
Over 2.5
65%
Both to score
66%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–19.6%
- 2–19.3%
- 1–07.1%
- 2–26.6%
- 2–06.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Dijon will have the ball; Guingamp will not mind.
45%Possession57%
41%Territory42%
4%From set plays28%
0.12Chance quality0.15
7.1%Directness5.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Guingamp, 4 for Dijon. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 22 of 97 matches, not the full season.