Ligue 2 · Matchweek 15
Boulogne
BOU
Rodez
ROD
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Boulogne40%
Draw27%
Rodez34%
Expected goals
1.51 – 1.39
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.8%
- 1–08.8%
- 2–18.6%
- 0–17.9%
- 1–27.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Rodez will have the ball; Boulogne will not mind.
40%Possession53%
30%Territory49%
22%From set plays36%
0.10Chance quality0.07
4.0%Directness4.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Boulogne, 3 for Rodez. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 54 matches, not the full season.