Ligue 2 · Matchweek 15
Boulogne
BOU
Rodez
ROD
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Boulogne44%
Draw28%
Rodez28%
Expected goals
1.45 – 1.14
Over 2.5
47%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.5%
- 1–011.3%
- 2–19.0%
- 0–18.6%
- 0–08.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Boulogne will have the ball; Rodez will not mind.
41%Possession31%
37%Territory33%
31%From set plays12%
0.10Chance quality0.12
7.6%Directness10.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Boulogne, 3 for Rodez. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 22 of 97 matches, not the full season.