Ligue 2 · Matchweek 14
Saint-Étienne
SAI
Nancy
NAC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Saint-Étienne64%
Draw21%
Nancy15%
Expected goals
2.11 – 0.95
Over 2.5
58%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 2–010.4%
- 1–010.4%
- 2–110.0%
- 1–19.3%
- 3–17.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nancy get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
52%Possession54%
36%Territory44%
11%From set plays46%
0.13Chance quality0.09
5.4%Directness4.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Saint-Étienne, 3 for Nancy. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Saint-Étienne
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 54 matches, not the full season.