Ligue 2 · Matchweek 14
Saint-Étienne
SAI
Nancy
NAC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Saint-Étienne53%
Draw27%
Nancy21%
Expected goals
1.57 – 0.91
Over 2.5
45%
Both to score
48%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–013.6%
- 1–112.0%
- 2–09.9%
- 2–19.5%
- 0–09.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
57%Possession53%
44%Territory37%
30%From set plays15%
0.08Chance quality0.10
3.4%Directness6.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Saint-Étienne, 2 for Nancy. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Nancy
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 22 of 97 matches, not the full season.