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Ligue 2 · Matchweek 14

Rodez

ROD

Reims

REI

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Rodez40%
Draw25%
Reims35%

Expected goals

1.70 – 1.59

Over 2.5

62%

Both to score

66%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.4%
  • 2–18.5%
  • 1–27.9%
  • 2–26.9%
  • 1–06.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

31%Possession51%
33%Territory27%
12%From set plays21%
0.12Chance quality0.10
10.5%Directness7.2%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Rodez, 2 for Reims. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 22 of 97 matches, not the full season.