Ligue 2 · Matchweek 14
Rodez
ROD
Reims
REI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Rodez39%
Draw23%
Reims38%
Expected goals
1.84 – 1.82
Over 2.5
69%
Both to score
71%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–19.0%
- 2–17.9%
- 1–27.8%
- 2–27.3%
- 1–05.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
53%Possession46%
49%Territory29%
36%From set plays21%
0.07Chance quality0.15
4.5%Directness5.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Rodez, 3 for Reims. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 54 matches, not the full season.