Ligue 2 · Matchweek 14
Montpellier
MON
Nantes
NAN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Montpellier52%
Draw26%
Nantes22%
Expected goals
1.60 – 0.97
Over 2.5
47%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–012.7%
- 1–111.9%
- 2–19.6%
- 2–09.4%
- 0–08.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Montpellier get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
65%Possession58%
37%Territory43%
44%From set plays26%
0.10Chance quality0.09
5.5%Directness5.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Montpellier, 3 for Nantes. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 54 matches, not the full season.