Ligue 2 · Matchweek 14
Montpellier
MON
Nantes
NAN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Montpellier55%
Draw25%
Nantes20%
Expected goals
1.71 – 0.98
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–012.1%
- 1–111.4%
- 2–19.8%
- 2–09.7%
- 0–07.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Montpellier will have the ball; Nantes will not mind.
61%Possession47%
30%Territory34%
7%From set plays31%
0.14Chance quality0.11
4.2%Directness6.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Montpellier, 3 for Nantes. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 22 of 97 matches, not the full season.