Ligue 2 · Matchweek 14
Grenoble
GRE
Guingamp
GUI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Grenoble28%
Draw25%
Guingamp47%
Expected goals
1.30 – 1.72
Over 2.5
57%
Both to score
61%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.1%
- 1–29.4%
- 0–18.9%
- 0–27.0%
- 2–16.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Guingamp get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
40%Possession46%
27%Territory30%
6%From set plays30%
0.11Chance quality0.16
10.1%Directness6.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Grenoble, 3 for Guingamp. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 54 matches, not the full season.