Ligue 2 · Matchweek 14
Grenoble
GRE
Guingamp
GUI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Grenoble24%
Draw25%
Guingamp50%
Expected goals
1.14 – 1.69
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.5%
- 0–110.5%
- 1–29.6%
- 0–28.1%
- 1–06.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Grenoble get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
44%Possession45%
30%Territory41%
44%From set plays4%
0.10Chance quality0.12
6.8%Directness7.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Grenoble, 3 for Guingamp. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 22 of 97 matches, not the full season.