Ligue 2 · Matchweek 14
Dunkerque
DUN
Red Star
RED
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Dunkerque38%
Draw29%
Red Star34%
Expected goals
1.31 – 1.23
Over 2.5
46%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.8%
- 1–010.6%
- 0–19.9%
- 0–09.1%
- 2–18.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
56%Possession53%
31%Territory37%
30%From set plays17%
0.12Chance quality0.06
7.7%Directness5.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Dunkerque, 2 for Red Star. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Red Star
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 22 of 97 matches, not the full season.