Ligue 2 · Matchweek 14
Dunkerque
DUN
Red Star
RED
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Dunkerque29%
Draw25%
Red Star46%
Expected goals
1.37 – 1.76
Over 2.5
59%
Both to score
63%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.8%
- 1–29.3%
- 0–18.2%
- 2–17.0%
- 0–26.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Red Star will have the ball; Dunkerque will not mind.
41%Possession52%
29%Territory33%
7%From set plays17%
0.07Chance quality0.15
7.5%Directness3.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Dunkerque, 3 for Red Star. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 54 matches, not the full season.