Ligue 2 · Matchweek 14
Dijon
DIJ
Sochaux
SOC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Dijon61%
Draw20%
Sochaux19%
Expected goals
2.26 – 1.25
Over 2.5
67%
Both to score
64%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.6%
- 1–18.6%
- 2–07.8%
- 1–07.4%
- 3–17.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
62%Possession50%
42%Territory29%
24%From set plays15%
0.15Chance quality0.07
5.7%Directness7.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Dijon, 2 for Sochaux. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 97 matches, not the full season.