Ligue 2 · Matchweek 14
Dijon
DIJ
Sochaux
SOC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Dijon40%
Draw25%
Sochaux35%
Expected goals
1.64 – 1.54
Over 2.5
60%
Both to score
64%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.8%
- 2–18.5%
- 1–27.9%
- 1–07.2%
- 2–26.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
47%Possession43%
31%Territory29%
16%From set plays12%
0.15Chance quality0.11
5.4%Directness6.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Dijon, 3 for Sochaux. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Sochaux
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 54 matches, not the full season.