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Ligue 2 · Matchweek 14

Clermont Foot

CLE

Metz

MET

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Clermont Foot44%
Draw28%
Metz27%

Expected goals

1.41 – 1.07

Over 2.5

44%

Both to score

51%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1112.7%
  • 1012.2%
  • 009.6%
  • 019.0%
  • 218.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Clermont Foot will have the ball; Metz will not mind.

60%Possession52%
29%Territory29%
14%From set plays24%
0.09Chance quality0.10
4.6%Directness9.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Clermont Foot, 3 for Metz. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 54 matches, not the full season.