Ligue 2 · Matchweek 14
Clermont Foot
CLE
Metz
MET
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Clermont Foot37%
Draw27%
Metz36%
Expected goals
1.42 – 1.40
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.1%
- 1–08.8%
- 0–18.7%
- 2–18.3%
- 1–28.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
52%Possession58%
38%Territory39%
13%From set plays20%
0.11Chance quality0.11
5.4%Directness8.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Clermont Foot, 4 for Metz. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Clermont Foot
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 22 of 97 matches, not the full season.