Ligue 2 · Matchweek 13
Sochaux
SOC
Dunkerque
DUN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Sochaux29%
Draw25%
Dunkerque45%
Expected goals
1.35 – 1.71
Over 2.5
58%
Both to score
62%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.0%
- 1–29.2%
- 0–18.5%
- 2–17.1%
- 0–26.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Dunkerque get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
49%Possession56%
31%Territory31%
10%From set plays30%
0.06Chance quality0.12
6.1%Directness7.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Sochaux, 3 for Dunkerque. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 99 matches, not the full season.