Ligue 2 · Matchweek 13
Sochaux
SOC
Dunkerque
DUN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Sochaux30%
Draw26%
Dunkerque45%
Expected goals
1.33 – 1.65
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.3%
- 1–29.2%
- 0–18.8%
- 2–17.2%
- 1–07.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
51%Possession56%
37%Territory31%
15%From set plays30%
0.07Chance quality0.12
6.4%Directness7.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Sochaux, 3 for Dunkerque. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 99 matches, not the full season.