Ligue 2 · Matchweek 13
Sochaux
SOC
Dunkerque
DUN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Sochaux37%
Draw27%
Dunkerque36%
Expected goals
1.43 – 1.40
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.0%
- 1–08.8%
- 0–18.6%
- 2–18.3%
- 1–28.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
43%Possession41%
29%Territory29%
12%From set plays7%
0.11Chance quality0.07
6.1%Directness7.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Sochaux, 3 for Dunkerque. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Sochaux
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 54 matches, not the full season.