Ligue 2 · Matchweek 13
Reims
REI
Saint-Étienne
SAI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Reims29%
Draw23%
Saint-Étienne48%
Expected goals
1.59 – 2.05
Over 2.5
69%
Both to score
70%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–18.9%
- 1–28.8%
- 2–27.0%
- 2–16.6%
- 0–15.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
46%Possession52%
29%Territory36%
21%From set plays11%
0.15Chance quality0.13
5.0%Directness5.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Reims, 3 for Saint-Étienne. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 54 matches, not the full season.