Ligue 2 · Matchweek 13
Nantes
NAN
Grenoble
GRE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Nantes46%
Draw27%
Grenoble26%
Expected goals
1.51 – 1.11
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.3%
- 1–011.5%
- 2–19.2%
- 0–08.3%
- 0–18.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
47%Possession44%
34%Territory30%
31%From set plays44%
0.11Chance quality0.10
6.1%Directness6.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Nantes, 3 for Grenoble. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 22 of 97 matches, not the full season.