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Ligue 2 · Matchweek 13

Nancy

NAC

Dijon

DIJ

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Nancy55%
Draw23%
Dijon22%

Expected goals

1.98 – 1.23

Over 2.5

61%

Both to score

62%

Fair handicap

-0.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 1110.0%
  • 219.8%
  • 108.6%
  • 207.8%
  • 316.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nancy get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

54%Possession47%
44%Territory31%
46%From set plays16%
0.09Chance quality0.15
4.5%Directness5.4%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Nancy, 3 for Dijon. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 54 matches, not the full season.