Ligue 2 · Matchweek 13
Nancy
NAC
Dijon
DIJ
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Nancy46%
Draw25%
Dijon29%
Expected goals
1.74 – 1.36
Over 2.5
59%
Both to score
62%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.9%
- 2–19.2%
- 1–08.3%
- 1–27.0%
- 2–06.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
53%Possession57%
37%Territory42%
15%From set plays28%
0.10Chance quality0.15
6.3%Directness5.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Nancy, 4 for Dijon. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Nancy
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 22 of 97 matches, not the full season.