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Ligue 2 · Matchweek 13

Nancy

NAC

Dijon

DIJ

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Nancy46%
Draw25%
Dijon29%

Expected goals

1.74 – 1.36

Over 2.5

59%

Both to score

62%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.9%
  • 2–19.3%
  • 1–08.4%
  • 1–27.0%
  • 2–06.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Dijon will have the ball; Nancy will not mind.

50%Possession62%
38%Territory42%
16%From set plays24%
0.12Chance quality0.15
6.1%Directness5.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Nancy, 3 for Dijon. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 99 matches, not the full season.