Ligue 2 · Matchweek 13
Metz
MET
Boulogne
BOU
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Metz33%
Draw29%
Boulogne37%
Expected goals
1.18 – 1.26
Over 2.5
44%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.1%
- 0–111.2%
- 1–010.4%
- 0–010.0%
- 1–28.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Metz will have the ball; Boulogne will not mind.
57%Possession41%
41%Territory37%
23%From set plays31%
0.11Chance quality0.10
8.2%Directness7.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Metz, 3 for Boulogne. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 99 matches, not the full season.