Ligue 2 · Matchweek 13
Metz
MET
Boulogne
BOU
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Metz40%
Draw28%
Boulogne32%
Expected goals
1.43 – 1.26
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.4%
- 1–010.1%
- 0–18.8%
- 2–18.7%
- 0–07.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Metz will have the ball; Boulogne will not mind.
52%Possession40%
29%Territory30%
24%From set plays22%
0.10Chance quality0.10
9.7%Directness4.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Metz, 3 for Boulogne. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 54 matches, not the full season.