Ligue 2 · Matchweek 13
Laval
LAV
Montpellier
MON
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Laval29%
Draw27%
Montpellier43%
Expected goals
1.21 – 1.50
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.2%
- 0–110.4%
- 1–29.0%
- 1–08.2%
- 0–07.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
60%Possession65%
44%Territory37%
31%From set plays44%
0.09Chance quality0.10
5.7%Directness5.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Laval, 3 for Montpellier. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 54 matches, not the full season.