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Ligue 2 · Matchweek 13

Laval

LAV

Montpellier

MON

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Laval35%
Draw27%
Montpellier37%

Expected goals

1.35 – 1.40

Over 2.5

51%

Both to score

57%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.3%
  • 0–19.3%
  • 1–09.0%
  • 1–28.3%
  • 2–18.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Laval get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

59%Possession61%
39%Territory30%
46%From set plays7%
0.14Chance quality0.15
5.4%Directness4.3%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Laval, 3 for Montpellier. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 22 of 97 matches, not the full season.