Ligue 2 · Matchweek 13
Guingamp
GUI
Rodez
ROD
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Guingamp51%
Draw23%
Rodez26%
Expected goals
1.94 – 1.35
Over 2.5
63%
Both to score
64%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.0%
- 2–19.5%
- 1–07.8%
- 2–06.9%
- 2–26.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Guingamp will have the ball; Rodez will not mind.
45%Possession31%
41%Territory33%
4%From set plays12%
0.12Chance quality0.12
7.1%Directness10.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Guingamp, 3 for Rodez. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 97 matches, not the full season.