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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Ligue 2 · Matchweek 12

Saint-Étienne

SAI

Laval

LAV

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Saint-Étienne74%
Draw15%
Laval11%

Expected goals

2.76 – 1.06

Over 2.5

72%

Both to score

61%

Fair handicap

-1.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–18.9%
  • 2–08.7%
  • 3–18.2%
  • 3–07.6%
  • 1–06.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Laval will have the ball; Saint-Étienne will not mind.

52%Possession60%
36%Territory44%
11%From set plays31%
0.13Chance quality0.09
5.4%Directness5.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Saint-Étienne, 3 for Laval. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 54 matches, not the full season.