Ligue 2 · Matchweek 12
Saint-Étienne
SAI
Laval
LAV
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Saint-Étienne58%
Draw24%
Laval18%
Expected goals
1.79 – 0.94
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–012.3%
- 1–110.9%
- 2–010.3%
- 2–19.9%
- 0–07.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Laval get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
57%Possession59%
44%Territory39%
30%From set plays46%
0.08Chance quality0.14
3.4%Directness5.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Saint-Étienne, 3 for Laval. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 99 matches, not the full season.