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Ligue 2 · Matchweek 12

Nancy

NAC

Sochaux

SOC

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Nancy47%
Draw28%
Sochaux25%

Expected goals

1.43 – 1.00

Over 2.5

43%

Both to score

49%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1013.0%
  • 1112.6%
  • 0010.0%
  • 219.0%
  • 018.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nancy will have the ball; Sochaux will not mind.

54%Possession43%
44%Territory29%
46%From set plays12%
0.09Chance quality0.11
4.5%Directness6.1%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Nancy, 3 for Sochaux. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 54 matches, not the full season.