Ligue 2 · Matchweek 12
Montpellier
MON
Metz
MET
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Montpellier53%
Draw26%
Metz21%
Expected goals
1.65 – 0.99
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–012.3%
- 1–111.7%
- 2–19.7%
- 2–09.4%
- 0–08.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Montpellier will have the ball; Metz will not mind.
65%Possession52%
37%Territory29%
44%From set plays24%
0.10Chance quality0.10
5.5%Directness9.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Montpellier, 3 for Metz. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 54 matches, not the full season.