Ligue 2 · Matchweek 12
Grenoble
GRE
Reims
REI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Grenoble27%
Draw26%
Reims48%
Expected goals
1.21 – 1.66
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.6%
- 0–110.0%
- 1–29.4%
- 0–27.5%
- 1–07.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
44%Possession51%
30%Territory27%
44%From set plays21%
0.10Chance quality0.10
6.8%Directness7.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Grenoble, 2 for Reims. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 22 of 97 matches, not the full season.