Ligue 2 · Matchweek 12
Grenoble
GRE
Reims
REI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Grenoble32%
Draw26%
Reims42%
Expected goals
1.38 – 1.61
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
61%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.4%
- 1–28.9%
- 0–18.6%
- 2–17.5%
- 1–07.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Reims get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
40%Possession46%
27%Territory29%
6%From set plays21%
0.11Chance quality0.15
10.1%Directness5.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Grenoble, 3 for Reims. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 54 matches, not the full season.