Ligue 2 · Matchweek 12
Dunkerque
DUN
Guingamp
GUI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Dunkerque37%
Draw26%
Guingamp38%
Expected goals
1.51 – 1.53
Over 2.5
57%
Both to score
62%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.3%
- 1–28.3%
- 2–18.2%
- 0–17.7%
- 1–07.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Dunkerque will have the ball; Guingamp will not mind.
56%Possession45%
31%Territory41%
30%From set plays4%
0.12Chance quality0.12
7.7%Directness7.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Dunkerque, 3 for Guingamp. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 99 matches, not the full season.