Ligue 2 · Matchweek 12
Dunkerque
DUN
Guingamp
GUI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Dunkerque32%
Draw23%
Guingamp45%
Expected goals
1.63 – 1.94
Over 2.5
68%
Both to score
69%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–19.3%
- 1–28.6%
- 2–17.1%
- 2–27.1%
- 0–16.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Guingamp get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
41%Possession46%
29%Territory30%
7%From set plays30%
0.07Chance quality0.16
7.5%Directness6.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Dunkerque, 3 for Guingamp. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 54 matches, not the full season.