Ligue 2 · Matchweek 12
Dijon
DIJ
Red Star
RED
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Dijon21%
Draw21%
Red Star58%
Expected goals
1.35 – 2.26
Over 2.5
69%
Both to score
67%
Fair handicap
0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–29.4%
- 1–18.5%
- 0–27.0%
- 1–37.0%
- 0–16.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
47%Possession52%
31%Territory33%
16%From set plays17%
0.15Chance quality0.15
5.4%Directness3.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Dijon, 3 for Red Star. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 54 matches, not the full season.