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Ligue 2 · Matchweek 12

Dijon

DIJ

Red Star

RED

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Dijon39%
Draw27%
Red Star34%

Expected goals

1.46 – 1.35

Over 2.5

52%

Both to score

58%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.1%
  • 1–09.2%
  • 2–18.6%
  • 0–18.4%
  • 1–27.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Dijon will have the ball; Red Star will not mind.

62%Possession54%
42%Territory31%
24%From set plays21%
0.15Chance quality0.06
5.7%Directness7.0%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Dijon, 3 for Red Star. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 99 matches, not the full season.