Ligue 2 · Matchweek 12
Clermont Foot
CLE
Rodez
ROD
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Clermont Foot40%
Draw28%
Rodez32%
Expected goals
1.42 – 1.24
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.5%
- 1–010.3%
- 0–18.9%
- 2–18.7%
- 0–08.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Rodez get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
60%Possession53%
29%Territory49%
14%From set plays36%
0.09Chance quality0.07
4.6%Directness4.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Clermont Foot, 3 for Rodez. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 54 matches, not the full season.