Ligue 2 · Matchweek 12
Boulogne
BOU
Annecy FC
ANN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Boulogne39%
Draw30%
Annecy FC31%
Expected goals
1.24 – 1.10
Over 2.5
41%
Both to score
49%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.2%
- 1–012.1%
- 0–010.9%
- 0–110.6%
- 2–18.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Boulogne get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
41%Possession39%
37%Territory30%
31%From set plays8%
0.10Chance quality0.13
7.6%Directness5.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Boulogne, 3 for Annecy FC. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 99 matches, not the full season.