Ligue 2 · Matchweek 11
Rodez
ROD
Dunkerque
DUN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Rodez47%
Draw23%
Dunkerque30%
Expected goals
1.92 – 1.52
Over 2.5
65%
Both to score
67%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–19.6%
- 2–19.0%
- 1–26.9%
- 2–26.9%
- 1–06.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Rodez will have the ball; Dunkerque will not mind.
53%Possession41%
49%Territory29%
36%From set plays7%
0.07Chance quality0.07
4.5%Directness7.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Rodez, 3 for Dunkerque. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 54 matches, not the full season.