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Ligue 2 · Matchweek 11

Reims

REI

Sochaux

SOC

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Reims61%
Draw22%
Sochaux17%

Expected goals

2.01 – 1.00

Over 2.5

57%

Both to score

55%

Fair handicap

-1.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–010.5%
  • 2–110.0%
  • 2–09.9%
  • 1–19.9%
  • 3–16.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

51%Possession50%
27%Territory29%
21%From set plays15%
0.10Chance quality0.07
7.2%Directness7.4%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Reims, 2 for Sochaux. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 22 of 97 matches, not the full season.