Ligue 2 · Matchweek 11
Reims
REI
Sochaux
SOC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Reims57%
Draw22%
Sochaux20%
Expected goals
2.00 – 1.15
Over 2.5
60%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–19.9%
- 2–19.9%
- 1–09.1%
- 2–08.5%
- 3–16.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
46%Possession43%
29%Territory29%
21%From set plays12%
0.15Chance quality0.11
5.0%Directness6.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Reims, 3 for Sochaux. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Sochaux
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 54 matches, not the full season.