Ligue 2 · Matchweek 11
Red Star
RED
Nancy
NAC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Red Star55%
Draw25%
Nancy20%
Expected goals
1.74 – 0.98
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–012.0%
- 1–111.3%
- 2–19.8%
- 2–09.7%
- 0–07.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nancy get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
52%Possession54%
33%Territory44%
17%From set plays46%
0.15Chance quality0.09
3.6%Directness4.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Red Star, 3 for Nancy. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 54 matches, not the full season.