Ligue 2 · Matchweek 11
Red Star
RED
Nancy
NAC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Red Star40%
Draw31%
Nancy29%
Expected goals
1.18 – 0.96
Over 2.5
36%
Both to score
44%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–014.0%
- 1–113.4%
- 0–013.2%
- 0–111.2%
- 2–17.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
53%Possession53%
37%Territory37%
17%From set plays15%
0.06Chance quality0.10
5.2%Directness6.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Red Star, 2 for Nancy. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
This competition has no player data in the current snapshot, so there is nobody to name. Better than naming somebody anyway.