Ligue 2 · Matchweek 11
Nantes
NAN
Clermont Foot
CLE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Nantes38%
Draw30%
Clermont Foot32%
Expected goals
1.26 – 1.14
Over 2.5
42%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.2%
- 1–011.7%
- 0–110.5%
- 0–010.4%
- 2–18.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
58%Possession60%
43%Territory29%
26%From set plays14%
0.09Chance quality0.09
5.8%Directness4.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Nantes, 3 for Clermont Foot. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 54 matches, not the full season.