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Ligue 2 · Matchweek 11

Laval

LAV

Boulogne

BOU

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Laval39%
Draw27%
Boulogne34%

Expected goals

1.47 – 1.37

Over 2.5

53%

Both to score

58%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1112.0%
  • 109.0%
  • 218.6%
  • 018.3%
  • 127.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Laval will have the ball; Boulogne will not mind.

60%Possession40%
44%Territory30%
31%From set plays22%
0.09Chance quality0.10
5.7%Directness4.0%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Laval, 3 for Boulogne. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 54 matches, not the full season.