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Ligue 2 · Matchweek 11

Annecy FC

ANN

Montpellier

MON

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Annecy FC42%
Draw29%
Montpellier29%

Expected goals

1.35 – 1.10

Over 2.5

44%

Both to score

51%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1112.9%
  • 1012.0%
  • 009.8%
  • 019.6%
  • 218.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Montpellier will have the ball; Annecy FC will not mind.

52%Possession65%
34%Territory37%
21%From set plays44%
0.12Chance quality0.10
4.0%Directness5.5%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Annecy FC, 3 for Montpellier. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 54 matches, not the full season.