Ligue 2 · Matchweek 10
Nancy
NAC
Laval
LAV
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Nancy48%
Draw26%
Laval26%
Expected goals
1.67 – 1.19
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.5%
- 1–010.1%
- 2–19.5%
- 2–07.7%
- 0–17.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
54%Possession60%
44%Territory44%
46%From set plays31%
0.09Chance quality0.09
4.5%Directness5.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Nancy, 3 for Laval. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 54 matches, not the full season.