Ligue 2 · Matchweek 10
Montpellier
MON
Red Star
RED
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Montpellier36%
Draw29%
Red Star35%
Expected goals
1.26 – 1.25
Over 2.5
45%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.0%
- 1–010.5%
- 0–110.4%
- 0–09.5%
- 2–18.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Montpellier will have the ball; Red Star will not mind.
65%Possession52%
37%Territory33%
44%From set plays17%
0.10Chance quality0.15
5.5%Directness3.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Montpellier, 3 for Red Star. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 54 matches, not the full season.