Ligue 2 · Matchweek 10
Dunkerque
DUN
Metz
MET
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Dunkerque47%
Draw24%
Metz29%
Expected goals
1.80 – 1.39
Over 2.5
61%
Both to score
63%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.5%
- 2–19.2%
- 1–07.9%
- 1–27.0%
- 2–26.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Metz will have the ball; Dunkerque will not mind.
41%Possession52%
29%Territory29%
7%From set plays24%
0.07Chance quality0.10
7.5%Directness9.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Dunkerque, 3 for Metz. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 54 matches, not the full season.