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Ligue 2 · Matchweek 10

Dijon

DIJ

Rodez

ROD

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Dijon33%
Draw22%
Rodez45%

Expected goals

1.78 – 2.07

Over 2.5

72%

Both to score

73%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 118.2%
  • 128.2%
  • 227.3%
  • 216.9%
  • 135.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Rodez get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

47%Possession53%
31%Territory49%
16%From set plays36%
0.15Chance quality0.07
5.4%Directness4.5%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Dijon, 3 for Rodez. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 54 matches, not the full season.