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Ligue 2 · Matchweek 10

Clermont Foot

CLE

Guingamp

GUI

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Clermont Foot31%
Draw27%
Guingamp42%

Expected goals

1.27 – 1.49

Over 2.5

51%

Both to score

57%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1112.1%
  • 019.8%
  • 128.9%
  • 108.3%
  • 217.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Clermont Foot will have the ball; Guingamp will not mind.

60%Possession46%
29%Territory30%
14%From set plays30%
0.09Chance quality0.16
4.6%Directness6.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Clermont Foot, 3 for Guingamp. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 54 matches, not the full season.