Ligue 2 · Matchweek 10
Boulogne
BOU
Reims
REI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Boulogne34%
Draw26%
Reims40%
Expected goals
1.44 – 1.56
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
61%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.4%
- 1–28.6%
- 0–18.2%
- 2–17.9%
- 1–07.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
40%Possession46%
30%Territory29%
22%From set plays21%
0.10Chance quality0.15
4.0%Directness5.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Boulogne, 3 for Reims. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 54 matches, not the full season.