Ligue 2 · Matchweek 9
Rodez
ROD
Montpellier
MON
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Rodez35%
Draw27%
Montpellier37%
Expected goals
1.36 – 1.40
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.2%
- 0–19.2%
- 1–08.9%
- 1–28.3%
- 2–18.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Montpellier will have the ball; Rodez will not mind.
53%Possession65%
49%Territory37%
36%From set plays44%
0.07Chance quality0.10
4.5%Directness5.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Rodez, 3 for Montpellier. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 54 matches, not the full season.