Ligue 2 · Matchweek 9
Reims
REI
Dijon
DIJ
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Reims66%
Draw17%
Dijon17%
Expected goals
2.77 – 1.42
Over 2.5
78%
Both to score
71%
Fair handicap
-1.25
Most likely scorelines
- 2–18.4%
- 3–17.6%
- 1–16.2%
- 2–06.1%
- 2–25.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
46%Possession47%
29%Territory31%
21%From set plays16%
0.15Chance quality0.15
5.0%Directness5.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Reims, 3 for Dijon. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 54 matches, not the full season.