Ligue 2 · Matchweek 9
Nantes
NAN
Dunkerque
DUN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Nantes41%
Draw25%
Dunkerque33%
Expected goals
1.63 – 1.46
Over 2.5
58%
Both to score
63%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.1%
- 2–18.8%
- 1–07.9%
- 1–27.7%
- 0–16.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nantes will have the ball; Dunkerque will not mind.
58%Possession41%
43%Territory29%
26%From set plays7%
0.09Chance quality0.07
5.8%Directness7.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Nantes, 3 for Dunkerque. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 54 matches, not the full season.