Ligue 2 · Matchweek 9
Grenoble
GRE
Boulogne
BOU
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Grenoble38%
Draw30%
Boulogne32%
Expected goals
1.24 – 1.12
Over 2.5
42%
Both to score
49%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.2%
- 1–011.9%
- 0–010.8%
- 0–110.7%
- 2–18.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Boulogne get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
40%Possession40%
27%Territory30%
6%From set plays22%
0.11Chance quality0.10
10.1%Directness4.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Grenoble, 3 for Boulogne. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 54 matches, not the full season.