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Ligue 2 · Matchweek 9

Annecy FC

ANN

Nancy

NAC

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Annecy FC50%
Draw27%
Nancy23%

Expected goals

1.58 – 1.03

Over 2.5

48%

Both to score

52%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1012.2%
  • 1112.0%
  • 219.5%
  • 208.9%
  • 008.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nancy get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

52%Possession54%
34%Territory44%
21%From set plays46%
0.12Chance quality0.09
4.0%Directness4.5%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Annecy FC, 3 for Nancy. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 54 matches, not the full season.