Ligue 2 · Matchweek 8
Sochaux
SOC
Boulogne
BOU
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Sochaux37%
Draw30%
Boulogne34%
Expected goals
1.23 – 1.17
Over 2.5
43%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.2%
- 1–011.3%
- 0–110.7%
- 0–010.4%
- 2–18.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
43%Possession40%
29%Territory30%
12%From set plays22%
0.11Chance quality0.10
6.1%Directness4.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Sochaux, 3 for Boulogne. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Sochaux
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 54 matches, not the full season.