Ligue 2 · Matchweek 8
Nancy
NAC
Guingamp
GUI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Nancy32%
Draw26%
Guingamp42%
Expected goals
1.39 – 1.61
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
61%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.4%
- 1–28.9%
- 0–18.5%
- 2–17.6%
- 1–07.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nancy get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
54%Possession46%
44%Territory30%
46%From set plays30%
0.09Chance quality0.16
4.5%Directness6.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Nancy, 3 for Guingamp. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 54 matches, not the full season.