Ligue 2 · Matchweek 8
Montpellier
MON
Grenoble
GRE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Montpellier52%
Draw28%
Grenoble21%
Expected goals
1.47 – 0.86
Over 2.5
41%
Both to score
45%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–014.8%
- 1–112.3%
- 0–010.8%
- 2–010.1%
- 2–19.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Montpellier will have the ball; Grenoble will not mind.
65%Possession40%
37%Territory27%
44%From set plays6%
0.10Chance quality0.11
5.5%Directness10.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Montpellier, 3 for Grenoble. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 54 matches, not the full season.