Ligue 2 · Matchweek 8
Dijon
DIJ
Metz
MET
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Dijon38%
Draw24%
Metz39%
Expected goals
1.77 – 1.79
Over 2.5
67%
Both to score
70%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–19.4%
- 1–28.0%
- 2–17.9%
- 2–27.2%
- 0–15.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
47%Possession52%
31%Territory29%
16%From set plays24%
0.15Chance quality0.10
5.4%Directness9.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Dijon, 3 for Metz. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 54 matches, not the full season.