Ligue 2 · Matchweek 7
Rodez
ROD
Nancy
NAC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Rodez44%
Draw26%
Nancy30%
Expected goals
1.59 – 1.30
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.7%
- 1–09.3%
- 2–19.1%
- 0–17.4%
- 1–27.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
53%Possession54%
49%Territory44%
36%From set plays46%
0.07Chance quality0.09
4.5%Directness4.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Rodez, 3 for Nancy. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 54 matches, not the full season.