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Ligue 2 · Matchweek 7

Reims

REI

Montpellier

MON

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Reims41%
Draw27%
Montpellier32%

Expected goals

1.53 – 1.33

Over 2.5

54%

Both to score

59%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1111.8%
  • 109.2%
  • 218.8%
  • 017.9%
  • 127.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Montpellier will have the ball; Reims will not mind.

46%Possession65%
29%Territory37%
21%From set plays44%
0.15Chance quality0.10
5.0%Directness5.5%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Reims, 3 for Montpellier. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 54 matches, not the full season.