Ligue 2 · Matchweek 7
Boulogne
BOU
Nantes
NAN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Boulogne43%
Draw28%
Nantes29%
Expected goals
1.45 – 1.18
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.4%
- 1–010.9%
- 2–18.9%
- 0–18.6%
- 0–08.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nantes will have the ball; Boulogne will not mind.
40%Possession58%
30%Territory43%
22%From set plays26%
0.10Chance quality0.09
4.0%Directness5.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Boulogne, 3 for Nantes. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 54 matches, not the full season.